Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004171 0.004388 0.004610 0.004856 0.005121 0.005397 0.005708
2025-08-31 0.003772 0.004090 0.004430 0.004824 0.005267 0.005753 0.006330
2025-09-07 0.003498 0.003868 0.004275 0.004760 0.005324 0.005965 0.006754
2025-09-14 0.003283 0.003686 0.004140 0.004692 0.005353 0.006124 0.007103
2025-09-21 0.003148 0.003582 0.004080 0.004699 0.005457 0.006364 0.007551
2025-09-28 0.002951 0.003392 0.003905 0.004554 0.005361 0.006349 0.007671
2025-10-05 0.002850 0.003310 0.003853 0.004550 0.005435 0.006541 0.008057
2025-10-12 0.002801 0.003285 0.003866 0.004625 0.005607 0.006860 0.008623
2025-10-19 0.002704 0.003198 0.003797 0.004590 0.005632 0.006986 0.008934
2025-10-26 0.002620 0.003123 0.003738 0.004564 0.005666 0.007122 0.009260
2025-11-02 0.002540 0.003048 0.003678 0.004531 0.005686 0.007238 0.009562
2025-11-09 0.002511 0.003037 0.003696 0.004602 0.005848 0.007553 0.010167
2025-11-16 0.002444 0.002976 0.003649 0.004584 0.005887 0.007700 0.010536
2025-11-23 0.002377 0.002911 0.003594 0.004553 0.005906 0.007819 0.010869
2025-11-30 0.002303 0.002836 0.003522 0.004494 0.005883 0.007872 0.011100
2025-12-07 0.002231 0.002762 0.003449 0.004432 0.005850 0.007908 0.011305
2025-12-14 0.002190 0.002726 0.003426 0.004438 0.005916 0.008095 0.011761
2025-12-21 0.002099 0.002622 0.003307 0.004303 0.005769 0.007948 0.011659
2025-12-28 0.002061 0.002586 0.003281 0.004300 0.005817 0.008103 0.012068
2026-01-04 0.002049 0.002587 0.003305 0.004369 0.005975 0.008437 0.012804
2026-01-11 0.002003 0.002540 0.003260 0.004337 0.005976 0.008520 0.013108
2026-01-18 0.001963 0.002498 0.003223 0.004313 0.005989 0.008623 0.013451
2026-01-25 0.001921 0.002456 0.003182 0.004282 0.005991 0.008705 0.013761